Fear—and Hope—on Election Day
What will happen in this most important election in a century-and-a-half? I have no idea. What the Daily Beast headline says about pollsters applies to me as well.
I anticipate that Democrats will do a lot better than most of the forecasts have led people to believe.
Pressed to give a few predictions, I will say that I think the Democrats will come out with gains in the Senate. I think they will hold all the Senate seats the party now has. Nevada is the most perilous, followed by New Hampshire. It is beyond comprehension that Georgia voters will choose Hershel Walker over Sen. Warnock.
I expect John Fetterman to win over the snake-oil salesman in Pennsylvania. I also expect Tim Ryan—what a great candidate he is—will defeat J.D. Vance in Ohio. I’m going with Mandela Barnes over Ron Johnson in Wisconsin. There’s a fair chance that Cheri Beasley can pull it out in North Carolina.
I once thought Val Demings had a chance to beat Marco Rubio in Florida, but it seems that DeSantis’s photos of voters in handcuffs have frightened enough black voters to put that out of reach.
There is, though, in my opinion, a chance that Michael Franken can upset 89-year-old Chuck Grassley in Iowa. And independent Evan McMullen could upset MAGA incumbent Mike Lee in Utah.
Bottom line: Democrats will have between 53 and 55 (unlikely) seats in the new Senate.
The House is a much steeper climb for Democrats. It looks like the lunatics will be in charge of the House come January, but I think there’s a slim chance the Democrats could eke it out.
Look for violence from the fascists in places where their candidates lose.